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    Economy and Markets

    New legs, or familiar lags?

    March 10, 2023

    After a year of aggressive interest rate hikes, major economies continue to show signs of resilience and in some cases acceleration in early-2023.

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    Know when to hold ’em

    February 9, 2023

    With inflation slowing but labour markets proving resilient, hopes for a soft landing are growing.

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    Triangulating terminal

    January 10, 2023

    Labour markets holding up but will eventually soften as economies slip into recession

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    Rate-hiking cycle ending as recession edges closer

    December 14, 2022

    The Canadian economy continues to inch closer to a recession in 2023.

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    Past the peak

    December 12, 2022

    Inflation is slowly starting to retreat from multi-decade highs, helped by falling energy prices and in some cases government relief programs.

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    Searching for the turning point

    November 10, 2022

    We continue to see downside risk to both central banks’ GDP projections for next year.

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    Crossing the line(s)

    October 12, 2022

    The Canadian dollar fell below the 76 US cent mark in September for the first time since 2020.

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    Front-loading can't guarantee a soft landing

    September 12, 2022

    Front-loading has become the motto of central banks looking to quickly remove policy support amid intense inflationary pressure.

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    Brace for a 'bumpy' landing, Canada

    September 12, 2022

    We expect the coming downturn in Canada will be ‘moderate’ by historical standards. - RBC Economics

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    Flagging growth won't derail central bank rate hikes

    August 10, 2022

    Stronger-than-expected inflation continues to force central banks into aggressive action. - RBC Economics

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    Shrinking runway for a soft landing

    July 7, 2022

    We now see more accelerated tightening cycles and higher terminal rates in all of the economies we track.

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    Will tough-talking central banks follow through?

    June 7, 2022

    May finally brought some relief in what has been a consistent Treasury market selloff this year.

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