An in-depth analysis of the key drivers of economic activity in Canada and the US including a discussion of global factors that will affect these near term forecasts. A forward-looking analysis of Canadian, U.S. and international financial market trends including interest rate and currency forecasts.
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Triangulating terminal: take two
June 8, 2023
Highlights Risk appetite is improving as debt ceiling and banking concerns subside. Bank of Canada and Reserve Bank of Australia...
Macroeconomic Outlook
Canada’s economy is beating expectations, but for how long?
June 8, 2023
The economic backdrop has proven more resilient than expected into 2023. GDP growth held on the good side of zero in the U.S. and Canada in Q1.
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Financial Markets
Past the peak Searching for the turning point Crossing the line(s) Front-loading can't guarantee a soft landing Flagging growth won't derail central bank rate hikes Shrinking runway for a soft landing Will tough-talking central banks follow through? End of an era Central banks playing catch-up Conflict in Europe brings more uncertainty, more inflation Moving on from pandemic stimulus Omicron won’t deter hawkish central banks
Central banks weigh inflation, new variant Central banks feeling the pressure Central banks shuffling toward the exit Economic recovery delayed but not derailed Navigating the Delta variant Central bank divergence re-emerging Economies and markets in wait-and-see mode Central banks on different wavelengths Vaccines, restrictions driving near-term divergence Inflation Prospects Prompt Bond Market Reset Economic Momentum 'Strained' in Early 2021 Rising COVID Cases Make for a Challenging Start to 2021
Vaccine Rollout Boosts 2021 Growth Prospects The Balancing Act: Containment vs. Recovery Second Wave Threatens Recovery Momentum Economic Check-up after a Very Long 6 Months Economic Recovery Underway, but Risks Abound Managing COVID Outbreaks Key for the Path to Economic Recovery After Unprecedented Declines, an Uneasy Recovery Begins After the Fall Record-breaking Declines Ahead March 6, 2020 February 7, 2020 January 10, 2020